The effect of catastrophes on the strategic customer behavior in queueing systems

We consider the single server Markovian queue subject to Poisson generated catastrophes. Whenever a catastrophe occurs, all customers are forced to abandon the system, the server is rendered inoperative and an exponential repair time is set on. During the repair time new arrivals are allowed to join the system. We assume that the arriving customers decide whether to join the system or balk, based on a natural linear reward‐cost structure with two types of rewards: A (usual) service reward for those customers that receive service and a (compensation) failure reward for those customers that are forced to abandon the system due to a catastrophe. We study the strategic behavior of the customers regarding balking and derive the corresponding (Nash) equilibrium strategies for the observable and unobservable cases. We show that both types of strategic behavior may be optimal: to avoid the crowd or to follow it. The crucial factor that determines the type of customer behavior is the relative value of the service reward to the failure compensation. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

浅谈新课标下高中物理实验探究教学

在新课程改革中,新课标下的物理教材,更充分地体现出以学生为主体的原则。本文从开展探究性实验教学;实验教学引入不要拘泥于传统、强化实验创新设计等几方面阐述了如何在物理实验教学中培养学生的创新能力。     

The economic effects of international trade in armaments in the major western industrialized and developing countries†

We have used the Michigan Model of World Production and Trade to assess the impact of exports and imports of armaments (based on 1980 data) on sectoral trade and employment and other economic variables in the major Western trading countries. If the United States were to place a unilateral embargo on its arms exports and imports, we calculate that it would experience a comparatively small amount of employment displacement in the aggregate and that most of this displacement would occur in the transport equipment and electric machinery sectors. If all the major Western countries were to place a multilateral embargo on their arms trade, the sectoral effects on the United States would be similarly small. But the sectoral effects in several other industrialized and developing countries measured as a percentage of sectoral employment, would be larger, indicating potential short‐run adjustment problems in labor markets in some cases.     

仿生偏振光导航传感器量测模型研究

仿生偏振导航传感器仿照昆虫利用天空偏振光进行导航的原理,测量载体的姿态和方位,具有精度高、功耗低等优势,是一种新型的导航传感器．根据偏振导航的原理分析偏振导航传感器的测量参考矢量和导航能力,根据其参考矢量的数量及性质,对偏振导航传感器使用在不同性质载体上的测量进行建模,并提出其对载体进行定姿的条件．     

弹载惯性测量系统抗高过载技术

在现代高技术条件下的局部战争中,为了提高火炮的射程、打击精度和反应速度,发展制导炮弹系统就成为必然的选择.弹体姿态测量系统是制导系统的重要组成部分,解决其在炮弹发射高过载恶劣环境下的生存问题就成为研究的关键之一.提出了主要抗高过载手段,并对弹体姿态测量系统的抗高过载性能进行了Ansys软件仿真、马歇特试验以及实弹飞行试验.最后得到结论,所给出的抗高过载方案在降低高过载对弹体姿态测量系统的影响方面,可以发挥良好的作用.     

基于敏感性分析的DF化学动力学模型的简化

基于两种燃料体系下的DF详细化学反应动力学模型,利用敏感性分析的方法,分别提出了相应的简化反应机理.简化过程中发现,仅考虑DF“冷反应”泵浦过程,忽略掉高振动激发态,忽略掉D2和DF分子的离解复合反应对整个系统影响不大.DF分子之间以及DF与D、D2、HF之间的能量转移反应具有较高的敏感性.简化机理在有效概括DF化学反...     

基于DIFHA算子的动态直觉模糊多属性群决策方法

动态决策问题是现实中的一类常见问题。在提出动态直觉模糊混合平均(D IFHA)算子的基础之上,提供一种动态直觉模糊多属性群决策方法。该方法能同时考虑决策过程的阶段性和属性值位置对决策结果的影响,并较好地处理决策过程中的定性指标。分析和算例证实该方法的可行性和实用性。     

基于一类弱连续T-模的模糊Hopfield神经网络研究

基于一般的弱连续T-模与取大（V）模糊算子的复合，建立了具有一般意义的动态模糊神经网络——模糊Hopfield神经网络，并系统分析了该动态系统的性能：在Hamming距离意义下证明了该网络是稳定的，而且其平衡点（吸引子）具有全局Lyapunov稳定性。最后，提供了一种有效的学习算法。     

对接组合体初始姿态影响的建模研究

建立了对接过程对组合体初始姿态影响的解析与数值模型。解析模型采用相对于整体质心的动量矩定理,给出了对接完成后组合体姿态角速度计算的解析表达式。结合追踪器的绝对运动方程和目标器的相对运动方程,建立了基于对接动力学的数值模型。通过单一偏差和组合偏差两种算例,对解析和数值模型得到的组合体初始姿态角速度进行了对比分析。计算结果表明,两种模型绝对偏差在0.07°/s以内,相对偏差在10%以内,另外给出了两种模型在工程任务中各自的适用阶段。     

星箭分离相对位姿摄影测量方法

提出一种基于视觉的星箭分离相对位姿测量方法。在相机内参数已知的情况下,将相机安装于运载火箭,并在卫星上固连不少于6个合作标志,利用相机对合作标志实时成像;基于单目位姿估计的基本原理,采用高效n点渗透与正交迭代结合的方式解算卫星与火箭之间的相对位姿关系。仿真实验结果、半实物仿真实验结果证明了所提测量方法的可行性和准确性。